technical paper
LIVE - Explaining the decline of preferential matrilateral cross-cousin (impal) marriage among the Karo of Indonesia: An epidemiological approach to cultural evolution
Abstract:
Kin-based social institutions (KBSI) shape human social networks, norms of property ownership, and marriage patterns, among other things, and have played an important role in the evolution of human psychology and social systems. Among the Karo of Indonesia, the rate of preferential matrilateral cross-cousin (impal) marriage, one of the most important KBSIs for that society, decreased drastically from at least the first half of the 20th century to recent times. We used a sample of 176 marriages from 62 villages and epidemiological methods (case-control study design and structural equation modeling) to measure the effect of various risk factors for impal marriage. With 88 cases (individuals ever married to their impal) and 88 controls (those never married to impal) matched by sex and age, we built models to assess risk factors in five groupings related to demography, religion, alliance, co-socialization, and modernization. There were significant factors with direct or indirect effects on the risk of impal marriage in four of the five groupings. Our results have implications for understanding the role of various factors on the decline of impal marriage among the Karo, but also for understanding the dynamics of social change and cultural evolution more generally.
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Twitter: @gkushnick