poster

Cultural Evolution Society Conference 2024

September 09, 2024

Durham, United Kingdom

The Cultural Evolution of Games of Chance – a historical investigation of Chinese gambling

keywords:

historical psychology

betting

wagers

games of chance

gaming odds

gambling

probability theory

cognition

Abstract:

Chance-based gambling has been a recurrent cultural activity throughout history and across many diverse human societies. In this paper, I combine quantitative and qualitative data and present a cultural evolutionary framework to explain why the odds in games of chance in premodern China appeared “designed” to ensure a moderate yet favorable house advantage. This is especially intriguing since extensive research in the history of probability has shown that prior to the development of probability theory people had very limited understanding of the nature of random events, and were generally disinclined to think mathematically about the frequency of their occurrence. I argue that games of chance in the context of gambling culturally evolved into their documented forms via a process of selective imitation and retention, and neither the customers nor the gambling houses understood the probability calculus involved in these games.

Speaker's social media:

Twitter: @KevinHong1991

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Malene Friis Hansen and 1 other author

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