Canada

The Evidential Regression Network (ERN) represents a novel approach that integrates deep learning with Dempster-Shafer&#39;s theory to predict a target and quantify the associated uncertainty. Guided by the underlying theory, specific activation functions must be employed to enforce non-negative values, which is a constraint that compromises model performance by limiting its ability to learn from all samples. This paper provides a theoretical analysis of this limitation and introduces an improvement to overcome it. Initially, we define the region where the models can&#39;t effectively learn from the samples. Following this, we thoroughly analyze the ERN and investigate this constraint. Leveraging the insights from our analysis, we address the limitation by introducing a novel regularization term that empowers the ERN to learn from the whole training set. Our extensive experiments substantiate our theoretical findings and demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed solution.

AAAI 2024

Uncertainty Regularized Evidential Regression

ml: calibration & uncertainty quantification

ml: classification and regression

machine learning

The Evidential Regression Network (ERN) represents a novel approach that integrates deep learning with Dempster-Shafer's theory to predict a target and quantify the associated uncertainty. Guided by the underlying theory, specific activation functions must be employed to enforce non-negative values, which is a constraint that compromises model performance by limiting its ability to learn from all samples. This paper provides a theoretical analysis of this limitation and introduces an improvement to overcome it. Initially, we define the region where the models can't effectively learn from the samples. Following this, we thoroughly analyze the ERN and investigate this constraint. Leveraging the insights from our analysis, we address the limitation by introducing a novel regularization term that empowers the ERN to learn from the whole training set. Our extensive experiments substantiate our theoretical findings and demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed solution.

technical paper

We are pleased to announce the Thirty-Eighth AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI-24), which will be held in Vancouver, British Columbia at the Vancouver Convention Centre – West Building from 20-27 February, 2024.

The purpose of the AAAI conference series is to promote research in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and foster scientific exchange between researchers, practitioners, scientists, students, and engineers across the entirety of AI and its affiliated disciplines. AAAI-24 will feature technical paper presentations, special tracks, invited speakers, workshops, tutorials, poster sessions, senior member presentations, competitions, and exhibit programs, and a range of other activities to be announced.

We expect for AAAI-24 to be an in-person conference – one author of all accepted papers will be expected to present work in person unless there are exceptional circumstances that prevent this.<br><br><br><br>

In order to access the AAAI-24 event page you need to register [here](https://aaai.org/aaai-conference/registration/)

The purpose of the AAAI conference series is to promote research in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and foster scientific exchange between researchers, practitioners, scientists, students, and engineers across the entirety of AI and its affiliated disciplines. 

The rapidly changing landscape of technology and industries leads to dynamic skill requirements, making it crucial for employees and employers to anticipate such shifts to maintain a competitive edge in the labor market. Existing efforts in this area either relies on domain-expert knowledge or regarding the skill evolution as a simplified time series forecasting problem. However, both approaches overlook the sophisticated relationships among different skills and the inner-connection between skill demand and supply variations. 
In this paper, we propose a Cross-view Hierarchical Graph learning Hypernetwork (CHGH) framework for joint skill demand-supply prediction. Specifically, CHGH is an encoder-decoder network consisting of i) a cross-view graph encoder to capture the interconnection between skill demand and supply, ii) a hierarchical graph encoder to model the co-evolution of skills from a cluster-wise perspective, and iii) a conditional hyper-decoder to jointly predict demand and supply variations by incorporating historical demand-supply gaps. Extensive experiments on three real-world datasets demonstrate the superiority of the proposed framework compared to seven baselines and the effectiveness of the three modules.

A Cross-View Hierarchical Graph Learning Hypernetwork for Skill Demand-Supply Joint Prediction | VIDEO

Many inductive logic programming approaches struggle to learn programs from noisy data. To overcome this limitation, we introduce an approach that learns minimal description length programs from noisy data, including recursive programs. Our experiments on several domains, including drug design, game playing, and program synthesis, show that our approach can outperform existing approaches in terms of predictive accuracies and scale to moderate amounts of noise.

Learning MDL Logic Programs from Noisy Data

Article 5 of the European Union’s Artificial Intelligence Act is intended to regulate AI use to prevent potentially harmful consequences. Nevertheless, applying this legislation practically is likely to be challenging because of ambiguously used terminologies and because it fails to specify which manipulation techniques may be invoked by AI, potentially leading to significant harm. This paper aims to bridge this gap by defining key terms and demonstrating how AI may invoke these techniques, drawing from insights in psychology and behavioural economics. First, this paper provides definitions of the terms “subliminal techniques”, “manipulative techniques” and “deceptive techniques”. Secondly, we identified from the literature in cognitive psychology and behavioural economics three subliminal and five manipulative techniques and exemplify how AI might implement these techniques to manipulate users in real-world case scenarios. These illustrations may serve as a practical guide for stakeholders to detect cases of AI manipulation and consequently devise preventive measures. Article 5 has also been criticised for offering inadequate protection. We critically assess the protection offered by Article 5, proposing specific revisions to paragraph 1, points (a) and (b) of Article 5 to increase its protective effectiveness.

Regulating AI: Applying Insights from Behavioural Economics and Psychology to the Application of Article 5 of the EU AI Act

Instant runoff voting (IRV) has recently gained popularity as an alternative to plurality voting for political elections, with advocates claiming a range of advantages, including that it produces more moderate winners than plurality and could thus help address polarization. However, there is little theoretical backing for this claim, with existing evidence focused on case studies and simulations. In this work, we prove that IRV has a moderating effect relative to plurality voting in a precise sense, developed in a 1-dimensional Euclidean model of voter preferences.  We develop a theory of exclusion zones, derived from properties of the voter distribution, which serve to show how moderate and extreme candidates interact during IRV vote tabulation. The theory allows us to prove that if voters are symmetrically distributed and not too concentrated at the extremes, IRV cannot elect an extreme candidate over a moderate. In contrast, we show plurality can and validate our results computationally. Our methods provide new frameworks for the analysis of voting systems, deriving exact winner distributions geometrically and establishing a connection between plurality voting and stick-breaking processes.

The Moderating Effect of Instant Runoff Voting | VIDEO

Human values are crucial to human decision-making. \textit{Value pluralism} is the view that multiple correct values may be held in tension with one another (e.g., when considering \textit{lying to a friend to protect their feelings}, how does one balance \textit{honesty} with \textit{friendship}?). As statistical learners, AI systems fit to averages by default, washing out these potentially irreducible value conflicts. To improve AI systems to better reflect value pluralism, the first-order challenge is to explore the extent to which AI systems can model pluralistic human \textit{values}, \textit{rights}, and \textit{duties} as well as their interaction.

We introduce ValuePrism, a large-scale dataset of 218k values, rights, and duties connected to 31k human-written situations. ValuePrism's contextualized values are generated by GPT-4 and deemed high-quality by human annotators 91% of the time. We conduct a large-scale study with annotators across diverse social and demographic backgrounds to try to understand whose values are represented.

With ValuePrism, we build Value Kaleidoscope (or Kaleido), an open, light-weight, and structured language-based multi-task model that generates, explains, and assesses the relevance and valence (i.e., support or oppose) of human values, rights, and duties within a specific context. Humans prefer the sets of values output by our system over the teacher GPT-4, finding them more accurate and with broader coverage. In addition, we demonstrate that Kaleido can help explain variability in human decision-making by outputting contrasting values. Finally, we show that Kaleido's representation transfer to other philosophical frameworks and datasets, confirming the benefit of an explicit, modular, and interpretable approach to value pluralism. We hope that our work will serve as a step to making more explicit the implicit values behind human decision-making and to steering AI systems to make decisions that are more in accordance with them.

Value Kaleidoscope: Engaging AI with Pluralistic Human Values, Rights, and Duties

Sarcasm is a widespread linguistic phenomenon that poses a considerable challenge to explain due to its subjective nature, absence of contextual cues, and rooted personal
perspectives. Even though the identification of sarcasm has been extensively studied in dialogue analysis, merely detecting sarcasm falls short of enabling conversational systems to genuinely comprehend the underlying meaning of a conversation and generate fitting responses. It is imperative to not only detect sarcasm but also pinpoint its origination and the rationale behind the sarcastic expressions to capture its authentic essence. In this paper, we delve into the discourse structure of conversations infused with sarcasm and introduce a novel task - Sarcasm Initiation and Reasoning in Conversations (SIRC). Embedded in a multimodal environment and
involving a combination of both English and code-mixed interactions, the objective of the task is to discern the trigger or starting point of sarcasm. Additionally, the task involves producing a natural language explanation that rationalizes the
satirical dialogues. To this end, we introduce Sarcasm Initiation and Reasoning Dataset (SIRD) to facilitate our task and provide sarcasm initiation annotations and reasoning. We develop a comprehensive model named Sarcasm Initiation
and Reasoning Generation (SIRG), which is designed to encompass textual, audio, and visual representations. To achieve this, we introduce a unique shared fusion method that employs cross-attention mechanisms to seamlessly integrate these diverse modalities. Our experimental outcomes, conducted on the SIRC dataset, demonstrate that our proposed framework establishes a new benchmark for both sarcasm initiation and its reasoning generation in the context of multimodal conversations.

Well, Now We Know! Unveiling Sarcasm: Initiating and Exploring Multimodal Conversations with Reasoning

Access to compute is widely viewed as a primary barrier to AI research progress. Compute resource stratification between academic and industry researchers is therefore a source of concern. Yet the experiences of researchers who might encounter resource constraints in their work have received no direct study. We addressed this gap by conducting a large survey of AI researchers that posed questions about project inputs, outcomes, and challenges. Contrary to popular narratives, responses from more than 500 participants revealed more concern about talent and data limitations than compute access. There were few differences between academic and industry researchers in this regard. The exception were researchers who already use large amounts of compute, and expressed a need for more. These findings suggest that interventions to subsidize compute without addressing the limitations on talent and data availability reported by our respondents might cause or exacerbate commonly cited resource inequalities, with unknown impact on the future of equitable research.

Resource Democratization: Is Compute the Binding Constraint on AI Research?

In partial label learning (PLL), each instance is associated with a set of candidate labels among which only one is ground-truth. The majority of the existing works focuses on constructing robust classifiers to estimate the labeling confidence of candidate labels in order to identify the correct one. However, these methods usually struggle to rectify mislabeled samples. To help existing PLL methods identify and rectify mislabeled samples, in this paper, we introduce a novel partner classifier and propose a novel ``mutual supervision'' paradigm. Specifically, we instantiate the partner classifier predicated on the implicit fact that non-candidate labels of a sample should not be assigned to it, which is inherently accurate and has not been fully investigated in PLL. Furthermore, a novel collaborative term is formulated to link the base classifier and the partner one. During each stage of mutual supervision, both classifiers will blur each other's predictions through a blurring mechanism to prevent overconfidence in a specific label. Extensive experiments demonstrate that the performance and disambiguation ability of several well-established stand-alone and deep-learning based PLL approaches can be significantly improved by coupling with this learning paradigm.

Partial Label Learning with a Partner

Backpropagation (BP), the standard learning algorithm for artificial neural networks, is often considered biologically implausible. In contrast, the standard learning algorithm for predictive coding (PC) models in neuroscience, known as the inference learning algorithm (IL), is a promising, bio-plausible alternative. However, several challenges and questions hinder IL's application to real-world problems. For example, IL is computationally demanding, and without memory-intensive optimizers like Adam, IL may converge to poor local minima. Moreover, although IL can reduce loss more quickly than BP, the reasons for these speedups or their robustness remains unclear. In this paper, we tackle these challenges by 1) altering the standard implementation of PC circuits to substantially reduce computation, 2) developing a novel optimizer that improves the convergence of IL without increasing memory usage, and 3) establishing theoretical results that help elucidate the conditions under which IL is sensitive to second and higher-order information.

Understanding and Improving Optimization in Predictive Coding Networks

A major limitation for the broader scope of problems solvable by transformers is the quadratic scaling of computational complexity with input size. In this study, we investigate the recurrent memory augmentation of pre-trained transformer models to extend input context length while linearly scaling compute. Our approach demonstrates the capability to store information in memory for sequences of up to an unprecedented two million tokens while maintaining high retrieval accuracy. Experiments with language modeling tasks show perplexity improvement as the number of processed input segments increases. These results underscore the effectiveness of our method, which has significant potential to enhance long-term dependency handling in natural language understanding and generation tasks, as well as enable large-scale context processing for memory-intensive applications.

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Uncertainty Regularized Evidential Regression

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A Cross-View Hierarchical Graph Learning Hypernetwork for Skill Demand-Supply Joint Prediction | VIDEO

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