United States

Forecasting of multivariate time-series is an important problem that has applications in traffic management, cellular network configuration, and quantitative finance. A special case of the problem arises when there is a graph available that captures the relationships between the time-series. In this paper we propose a novel learning architecture that achieves performance competitive with or better than the best existing algorithms, without requiring knowledge of the graph. The key element of our proposed architecture is the learnable fully connected hard graph gating mechanism that enables the use of the state-of-the-art and highly computationally efficient fully connected time-series forecasting architecture in traffic forecasting applications. Experimental results for two public traffic network datasets illustrate the value of our approach, and ablation studies confirm the importance of each element of the architecture. The code is available here: https://github.com/boreshkinai/fc-gaga.

AAAI 2021

FC-GAGA: Fully Connected Gated Graph Architecture for Spatio-Temporal Traffic Forecasting

The purpose of the AAAI conference series is to promote research in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and foster scientific exchange between researchers, practitioners, scientists, students, and engineers across the entirety of AI and its affiliated disciplines. AAAI-23 is the Thirty-Seventh AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence. The theme of this conference is to create collaborative bridges within and beyond AI. Like previous AAAI conferences, AAAI-23 will feature technical paper presentations, special tracks, invited speakers, workshops, tutorials, poster sessions, senior member presentations, competitions, and exhibit programs, and two new activities: a Bridge Program and a Lab Program. Many of these activities are tailored to the theme of bridges and all are selected according to the highest standards, with additional programs for students and young researchers. 
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AAAI 2023

The purpose of the AAAI conference series is to promote research in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and foster scientific exchange between researchers, practitioners, scientists, students, and engineers across the entirety of AI and its affiliated disciplines.

technical paper

The purpose of the AAAI conference is to promote research in artificial intelligence (AI) and scientific exchange among AI researchers, practitioners, scientists, and engineers in affiliated disciplines. 

We study combinatorial, parallelizable algorithms for maximization of a submodular function, not necessarily monotone, with respect to a cardinality constraint k. We improve the best approximation factor achieved by an algorithm that has optimal adaptivity and query complexity, up to logarithmic factors in the size of the ground set, from 0.039 to nearly 0.193. Heuristic versions of our algorithms are empirically validated to use a low number of adaptive rounds and total queries while obtaining solutions with high objective value in comparison with state-of-the-art approximation algorithms, including continuous algorithms that use the multilinear extension.

Nearly Linear-Time, Parallelizable Algorithms for Non-Monotone Submodular Maximization

Transformer-based architectures brought a breeze of change to Word Sense Disambiguation (WSD), improving models' performances by a large margin.
The fast development of new approaches has been further encouraged by a well-framed evaluation suite for English, which has allowed their performances to be kept track of and compared fairly.
However, other languages have remained largely unexplored, as testing data are available for a few languages only and the evaluation setting is rather matted.
In this paper, we untangle this situation by proposing XL-WSD, a cross-lingual evaluation benchmark for the WSD task featuring sense-annotated development and test sets in 18 languages from six different linguistic families, together with language-specific silver training data.
We leverage XL-WSD datasets to conduct an extensive evaluation of neural and knowledge-based approaches, including the most recent multilingual language models. 
Results show that the zero-shot knowledge transfer across languages is a promising research direction within the WSD field, especially when considering low-resourced languages where large pre-trained multilingual models still perform poorly. 
We make the evaluation suite and the code for performing the experiments available at https://sapienzanlp.github.io/xl-wsd/.

XL-WSD: An Extra-Large and Cross-Lingual Evaluation Framework for Word Sense Disambiguation

While widely used in industry,  recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are known to have deficiencies in dealing with long sequences (e.g. slow inference, vanishing gradients etc.). Recent research has attempted to accelerate RNN models by developing mechanisms to skip irrelevant words in input. Due to the lack of labelled data, it remains as a challenge to decide which words to skip, especially for low-resource classification tasks. In this paper, we propose Knowledge-AwareLeap-LSTM (KALL), a novel architecture which integrates prior human knowledge (created either manually or automatically)  like in-domain keywords,  terminologies or lexicons into Leap-LSTM to partially supervise the skipping process. More specifically,  we propose a knowledge-oriented cost function for KALL; furthermore, we propose two strategies to integrate the knowledge: (1) the Factored KALL approach involves a keyword indicator as a soft constraint for the skip-ping process, and (2) the Gated KALL enforces the inclusion of keywords while maintaining a differentiable network in training. Experiments on different public datasets show that our approaches are1.1x~2.6x faster than LSTM with better accuracy and 23.6x faster than XLNet in a resource-limited CPU-only environment.

Knowledge-Aware Leap-LSTM: Integrating Prior Knowledge into Leap-LSTM towards Faster Long Text Classification

Can meta-learning discover generic ways of processing time series (TS) from a diverse dataset so as to greatly improve generalization on new TS coming from different datasets? This work provides positive evidence to this using a broad meta-learning framework which we show subsumes many existing meta-learning algorithms. Our theoretical analysis suggests that residual connections act as a meta-learning adaptation mechanism, generating a subset of task-specific parameters based on a given TS input, thus gradually expanding the expressive power of the architecture on-the-fly. The same mechanism is shown via linearization analysis to have the interpretation of a sequential update of the final linear layer. Our empirical results on a wide range of data emphasize the importance of the identified meta-learning mechanisms for successful zero-shot univariate forecasting, suggesting that it is viable to train a neural network on a source TS dataset and deploy it on a different target TS dataset without retraining, resulting in performance that is at least as good as that of state-of-practice univariate forecasting models.

Meta-Learning Framework with Applications to Zero-Shot Time-Series Forecasting

In this paper we revisit the idea of pseudo-labeling in the context of semi-supervised learning where a learning algorithm has access to a small set of labeled samples and a large set of unlabeled samples. Pseudo-labeling works by applying pseudo-labels to samples in the unlabeled set by using a model trained on combination of the labeled samples and any previously pseudo-labeled samples, and iteratively repeating this process in a self-training cycle. Current methods seem to have abandoned this approach in favor of consistency regularization methods that train models under a combination of different styles of self-supervised losses on the unlabeled samples and standard supervised losses on the labeled samples. We empirically demonstrate that pseudo-labeling can in fact be competitive with the state-of-the-art, while being more resilient to out-of-distribution samples in the unlabeled set. We identify two key factors that allow pseudo-labeling to achieve such remarkable results (1) applying curriculum learning principles and (2) avoiding concept drift by restarting model parameters before each self-training cycle. We obtain 94.91% accuracy on CIFAR-10 using only 4,000 labeled samples, and 68.87% top-1 accuracy on Imagenet-ILSVRC using only 10% of the labeled samples.

Curriculum Labeling: Revisiting Pseudo-Labeling for Semi-Supervised Learning

Argument structure elaborates the relation among claims and premises. 
Previous works in persuasiveness prediction do not consider this relation in their architectures. 
To take argument structure information into account, this paper proposes an approach to persuasiveness prediction with a novel graph-based neural network model, called heterogeneous argument attention network (HARGAN).
By jointly training on the persuasiveness and stance of the replies, our model achieves the state-of-the-art performance on the ChangeMyView (CMV) dataset for the persuasiveness prediction task.
Experimental results show that the graph setting enables our model to aggregate information across multiple paragraphs effectively.
In the meanwhile, our stance prediction auxiliary task enables our model to identify the viewpoint of each party, and helps our model perform better on the persuasiveness prediction.

HARGAN: Heterogeneous Argument Attention Network for Persuasiveness Prediction

The design of online algorithms has tended to focus on algorithms with worst-case guarantees, e.g., bounds on the competitive ratio.  However, it is well-known that such algorithms are often overly pessimistic, performing sub-optimally on non-worst-case inputs.  In this paper, we develop an approach for data-driven design of online algorithms that maintain near-optimal worst-case guarantees while also performing learning in order to perform well for typical inputs. Our approach is to identify policy classes that admit global worst-case guarantees, and then perform learning using historical data within the policy classes. We demonstrate the approach in the context of two classical problems, online knapsack and online set cover, proving competitive bounds for rich policy classes in each case. Additionally, we illustrate the practical implications via a case study on electric vehicle charging.

Data-Driven Competitive Algorithms for Online Knapsack and Set Cover

Automated predictions require explanations to be interpretable by humans. Past work used attention and rationale mechanisms to find words that predict the target variable of a document. Often though, they result in a tradeoff between noisy explanations or a drop in accuracy. Furthermore, rationale methods cannot capture the multi-faceted nature of justifications for multiple targets, because of the non-probabilistic nature of the mask. In this paper, we propose the Multi-Target Masker (MTM) to address these shortcomings. The novelty lies in the soft multi-dimensional mask that models a relevance probability distribution over the set of target variables to handle ambiguities. Additionally, two regularizers guide MTM to induce long, meaningful explanations. We evaluate MTM on two datasets and show, using standard metrics and human annotations, that the resulting masks are more accurate and coherent than those generated by the state-of-the-art methods. Moreover, MTM is the first to also achieve the highest F1 scores for all the target variables simultaneously.

Multi-Dimensional Explanation of Target Variables from Documents

Recent works have developed several methods of defending neural networks against adversarial attacks with certified guarantees. However, these techniques can be computationally costly due to the use of certification during training. We develop a new regularizer that is both more efficient than existing certified defenses, requiring only one additional forward propagation through a network, and can be used to train networks with similar certified accuracy. Through experiments on MNIST and CIFAR-10 we demonstrate improvements in training speed and comparable certified accuracy compared to state-of-the-art certified defenses.

Fast Training of Provably Robust Neural Networks by SingleProp

Estimating causal effects from observational data is not always possible due to confounding. Identifying a set of appropriate covariates (adjustment set) and adjusting for their influence can remove confounding bias; however, such a set is often not identifiable from observational data alone. Experimental data allow unbiased causal effect estimation, but are typically limited in sample size and can therefore yield estimates of high variance. Moreover, experiments are often performed on a different (specialized) population than the population of interest. In this work, we introduce a method that combines large observational and limited experimental data to identify adjustment sets and improve the estimation of causal effects for a target population. The method scores an adjustment set by calculating the marginal likelihood for the experimental data given an observationally-derived causal effect estimate, using a putative adjustment set. The method can make inferences that are not possible using constraint-based methods. We show that the method can improve causal effect estimation, and  can  make additional inferences when compared to state-of-the-art methods.

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Nearly Linear-Time, Parallelizable Algorithms for Non-Monotone Submodular Maximization

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Nearly Linear-Time, Parallelizable Algorithms for Non-Monotone Submodular Maximization

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Spatio-Temporal Meta-Graph Learning for Traffic Forecasting

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