United States

Concept drift, characterized by unpredictable changes in data distribution over time, poses significant challenges to machine
learning models in streaming data scenarios. 
Although error rate-based concept drift detectors are widely used, 
they often fail to identify drift in the early stages when the data distribution changes but error rates remain constant.
This paper introduces the Prediction Uncertainty Index (PU-index),
derived from the prediction uncertainty of the classifier, as a
superior alternative to the error rate for drift detection. Our
theoretical analysis demonstrates that:
(1) The PU-index can detect drift even when error rates remain stable.
(2) Any change in the error rate will lead to a corresponding change in the PU-index.
These properties make the PU-index a more sensitive and robust indicator for drift detection compared to existing methods.
We also propose a PU-index-based Drift Detector (PUDD) that employs a novel Adaptive PU-index Bucketing algorithm for detecting drift.
Empirical evaluations on both synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate PUDD’s efficacy in detecting drift in structured and image data.

AAAI 2025

Early Concept Drift Detection via Prediction Uncertainty

data streams

time series

ICPR 2020 is the premier international conference on Pattern Recognition, gathering leading researchers from around the world to present their latest achievements in Pattern Analysis and Recognition, applied Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning. The topic of the year is " Putting Artificial intelligence to work on Patterns". 
For the first time, ICPR has employed a two-round review process similar to journal submissions, with new papers allowed to be submitted in either the first or second round and papers submitted in the first round and not accepted allowed to be revised and re-submitted for second round review. 

In this edition of the **ICPR 2020** Conference, there are 1407 Oral/Poster presentations organized in five Tracks: 
- Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning for Pattern Analysis; 
- Biometrics, Human Analysis and Behavior Understanding; Computer Vision, Robotics and Intelligent Systems; 
- Document and Media Analysis; and 
- Image and Signal Processing. 

The **ICPR 2020** Main Conference program also includes 7 Keynotes from prominent world-renowned scientists, 8 Tutorials, 28 Demos, 8 Challenges, 2 Panels, as well as an Industry/Sponsor Exhibition. In addition, 41 Workshops on a range of important current and emerging research topics complete the ICPR 2020 program. 


ICPR 2020

poster

We are pleased to announce the Thirty-Ninth AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI-25), which will be held in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania at the Pennsylvania Convention Center from February 25 to March 4, 2025.

The purpose of the AAAI conference series is to promote research in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and foster scientific exchange between researchers, practitioners, scientists, students, and engineers across the entirety of AI and its affiliated disciplines. AAAI-25 will feature technical paper presentations, special tracks, invited speakers, workshops, tutorials, poster sessions, senior member presentations, competitions, and exhibit programs, and a range of other activities to be announced.

### [Invited Speakers](https://aaai.org/conference/aaai/aaai-25/aaai-25-invited-speakers/)

Register [here](https://aaai.org/conference/aaai/aaai-25/registration/)

The purpose of the AAAI conference series is to promote research in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and foster scientific exchange between researchers, practitioners, scientists, students, and engineers across the entirety of AI and its affiliated disciplines. AAAI-25 will feature technical paper presentations, special tracks, invited speakers, workshops, tutorials, poster sessions, senior member presentations, competitions, and exhibit programs, and a range of other activities to be announced.



We study cascades in social networks with the independent cascade (IC) model and the Susceptible-Infected-recovered (SIR) model. The well-studied IC model fails to capture the feature of node recovery, and the SIR model is a variant of the IC model with the node recovery feature. In the SIR model, by computing the probability that a node successfully infects another before its recovery and viewing this probability as the corresponding IC parameter, an equivalence between the two models is established, except that the events of the infections along different out-going edges of a node become dependent in the SIR model, whereas these events are independent in the IC model. In this paper, we thoroughly compare the two models and examine the effect of this extra dependency in the SIR model. By a carefully designed coupling argument, we show that the seeds in the IC model have a stronger influence spread than their counterparts in the SIR model, and sometimes it can be significantly stronger. Specifically, we prove that, given the same network, the same seed sets, and the parameters of the two models being set based on the above-mentioned equivalence, the expected number of infected nodes at the end of the cascade for the IC model is weakly larger than that for the SIR model, and there are instances where this dominance is significant.

We also study the influence maximization problem (the optimization problem of selecting a set of nodes as initial seeds in a social network to maximize their influence) with the SIR model. We show that the above-mentioned difference in the two models yields different seed-selection strategies, which motivates the design of influence maximization algorithms specifically for the SIR model. We design efficient approximation algorithms with theoretical guarantees by adapting the reverse-reachable-set-based algorithms, commonly used for the IC model, to the SIR model.

A Thorough Comparison Between Independent Cascade and Susceptible-Infected-Recovered Models

The use of neural differential equation models in machine learning applications has gained significant traction in recent years. In particular, fractional differential equations (FDEs) have emerged as a powerful tool for capturing complex dynamics in various domains. While existing models have primarily focused on constant-order fractional derivatives, variable-order fractional operators offer a more flexible and expressive framework for modeling complex memory patterns. In this work, we introduce the Neural Variable-Order Fractional Differential Equation network (NvoFDE), a novel neural network framework that integrates variable-order fractional derivatives with learnable neural networks. Our framework allows for the modeling of adaptive derivative orders dependent on hidden features, capturing more complex feature-updating dynamics and providing enhanced flexibility. We conduct extensive experiments across multiple graph datasets to validate the effectiveness of our approach. Our results demonstrate that NvoFDE outperforms traditional constant-order fractional and integer models across a range of tasks, showcasing its superior adaptability and performance.

Neural Variable-Order Fractional Differential Equation Networks

This work presents a novel systematic methodology to analyse the capabilities and limitations of Large Language Models (LLMs) with feedback from a formal inference engine, on logic theory induction. The analysis is complexity-graded w.r.t. rule dependency structure, allowing quantification of specific inference challenges on LLM performance.
Integrating LLMs with formal methods is a promising frontier in the Natural Language Processing field, as an important avenue for improving model inference control and explainability. In particular, inductive learning over complex sets of facts and rules, poses unique challenges for current autoregressive models, as they lack explicit symbolic grounding. While they can be complemented by formal systems, the properties delivered by LLMs regarding inductive learning, are not well understood and quantified.
Empirical results indicate that the largest LLMs can achieve competitive results against a SOTA Inductive Logic Programming (ILP) system baseline, but also that tracking long predicate relationship chains is a more difficult obstacle than theory complexity for the LLMs.

Inductive Learning of Logical Theories with LLMs: A Expressivity-graded Analysis

The Traveling Tournament Problem (TTP-$k$) is a well-known benchmark problem in tournament timetabling. It involves designing a feasible double round-robin tournament for a sports league of $n$ teams under several feasibility requirements, while minimizing the total traveling costs of the teams. The parameter $k$ requires that in the tournament at most $k$ consecutive home games or away games for each team are allowed. TTP-$k$ with a small $k$, especially for $k=2,3$ and $4$, have been extensively studied in the literature. In this paper, we focus on TTP-4 and design an efficient algorithm for it based on minimum weight matching. In theory, we prove that our algorithm has an approximation ratio of $1.625+\varepsilon$ for any constant $\varepsilon>0$, improving the best-known approximation ratio of $1.7+\varepsilon$. In practice, our experimental results indicate an average improvement of $6.65$% over the best-known solutions on $9$ benchmark instances.

A Matching-Based Algorithm for the Traveling Tournament Problem

Despite extensive training on diverse datasets and alignment with human values, large language models (LLMs) can still generate fallacious outputs. Additionally, the validity of LLM's outputs varies significantly depending on the content. It is crucial to ensure LLMs' logical consistency across different contexts. Drawing inspiration from cognitive psychology studies, we propose a Logic Control Framework (LCF) that disentangles LLMs' hidden representations into separate content and logic spaces. Within the logic space, we use logically valid and invalid samples to construct distinct regions through contrastive learning. By moving logic representations to logically valid regions and fusing them with unchanged content representations, we significantly reduce logical fallacies in LLM outputs while maintaining content coherence. We demonstrate the effectiveness of LCF through experiments on conclusion generation and fallacy identification tasks, showing a significant improvement in logical validity and a reduction in fallacious outputs.

Content-free Logical Modification of Large Language Model by Disentangling and Modifying Logic Representation

Unsupervised Skill Discovery aims at learning diverse skills without any extrinsic rewards and leverage them as prior for learning a variety of downstream tasks. Existing approaches to unsupervised reinforcement learning typically involve discovering skills through empowerment-driven techniques or by maximizing entropy to encourage exploration. However, this mutual information objective often results in either static skills that discourage exploration or maximise coverage at the expense of non-discriminable skills. Instead of focusing only on maximizing bounds on $f$-divergence, we combine it with Integral Probability Metrics to maximize the distance between distributions to promote behavioural diversity and enforce disentanglement. Our method, Hilbert Unsupervised Skill Discovery (HUSD), provides an additional objective that seeks to obtain exploration and separability of state-skill pairs by maximizing the Maximum Mean Discrepancy between the joint distribution of skills and states and the product of their marginals in Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space. Our results on Unsupervised RL Benchmark show that HUSD outperforms previous exploration algorithms on state-based tasks.

Skill Disentanglement in Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space

Many unsupervised visual anomaly detection methods train an auto-encoder to reconstruct normal samples and then leverage the reconstruction error map to detect and localize the anomalies. However, due to the powerful modeling and generalization ability of neural networks, some anomalies can also be well reconstructed, resulting in unsatisfactory detection and localization accuracy. In this paper, a small coarsely-labeled anomaly dataset is first collected. Then, a coarse-knowledge-aware adversarial learning method is developed to align the distribution of reconstructed features with that of normal features. The alignment can effectively suppress the auto-encoder's reconstruction ability on anomalies and thus improve the detection accuracy. Considering that anomalies often only occupy very small areas in anomalous images, a patch-level adversarial learning strategy is further developed. Although no patch-level anomalous information is available, we rigorously prove that by simply viewing any patch features from anomalous images as anomalies, the proposed knowledge-aware method can also align the distribution of reconstructed patch features with the normal ones. Experimental results on four medical datasets and an industrial dataset demonstrate the effectiveness of our method in improving the detection and localization performance.

Boosting Fine-Grained Visual Anomaly Detection with Coarse-Knowledge-Aware Adversarial Learning

Effective urban traffic management is vital for sustainable city development, relying on intelligent systems with machine learning tasks such as traffic flow prediction, travel time estimation and route planning. Traditional approaches usually focus on static road network and trajectory representation learning, and overlook the dynamic nature of traffic states and trajectories, which is crucial for downstream tasks. To address this gap, we propose TRACK, a novel framework to bridge traffic state and trajectory data for dynamic road network and trajectory representation learning. TRACK leverages graph attention networks (GAT) to encode static and spatial road segment features, and introduces a transformer-based model for trajectory representation learning. By incorporating transition probabilities from trajectory data into GAT attention weights, TRACK captures dynamic spatial features of road segments. Meanwhile, TRACK designs a traffic transformer encoder to capture road segment's spatial-temporal dynamics from traffic state data. To further enhance dynamic representations, TRACK proposes a co-attentional transformer encoder with a trajectory-traffic state matching task. Extensive experiments on real-life urban traffic datasets demonstrate the superiority of TRACK over state-of-the-art baselines. Case studies confirm TRACK's ability to capture spatial-temporal dynamics effectively.

Bridging Traffic State and Trajectory for Dynamic Road Network and Trajectory Representation Learning

Deep learning models often suffer from performance degradation in unseen domains,  posing a risk for safety-critical applications such as autonomous driving. To tackle this problem, recent studies have leveraged pre-trained Visual Foundation Models (VFMs) to enhance generalization. However, exsiting works mainly focus on designing intricate networks for VFMs, neglecting  their inherent strong generalization potential. Moreover, these methods typically perform inference on low-resolution images. The loss of detail hinders accurate predictions in unseen domains, especially for small objects. In this paper, we argue that simply fine-tuning VFMs and leveraging high-resolution images unleash the power of VFMs for generalizable semantic segmentation. Therefore, we design a VFM-based segmentation network (VFMNet) that adapts VFMs to this task with minimal fine-tuning, preserving their generalizable knowledge. Then, to fully utilize high-resolution images, we train a Mask-guided Refinement Network (MGRNet) to refine VFMNet's predictions combining detailed image features.  Furthermore, we adopt a two-stage coarse-to-fine inference approach. MGRNet is used to refine the low-confidence regions predicted by VFMNet to obtain fine-grained results. Extensive experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of our method, outperforming state-of-the-art methods by 3.3\% on the average mIoU in synthetic-to-real domain generalization.

Unleashing the Power of Visual Foundation Models for Generalizable Semantic Segmentation

Cooperatively utilizing both ego-vehicle and infrastructure sensor data via V2X communication has emerged as a promising approach for advanced autonomous driving. However, current research mainly focuses on improving individual modules, rather than taking end-to-end learning to optimize final planning performance, resulting in underutilized data potential. In this paper, we introduce UniV2X, a pioneering cooperative autonomous driving framework that seamlessly integrates all key driving modules across diverse views into a unified network. We propose a sparse-dense hybrid data transmission and fusion mechanism for effective vehicle-infrastructure cooperation, offering three advantages: 1) Effective for simultaneously enhancing agent perception, online mapping, and occupancy prediction, ultimately improving planning performance. 2) Transmission-friendly for practical and limited communication conditions. 3) Reliable data fusion with interpretability of this hybrid data. We implement UniV2X, as well as reproducing several benchmark methods, on the challenging DAIR-V2X, the real-world cooperative driving dataset. Experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of UniV2X in significantly enhancing planning performance, as well as all intermediate output performance. Code is provided in the supplementary materials.

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A Thorough Comparison Between Independent Cascade and Susceptible-Infected-Recovered Models

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Learning Parameter Distributions to Detect Concept Drift in Data Streams

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Next from AAAI 2025

A Thorough Comparison Between Independent Cascade and Susceptible-Infected-Recovered Models

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Learning Parameter Distributions to Detect Concept Drift in Data Streams

Stay up to date with the latest Underline news!

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