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Factors for Predicting Time to Acceptance in the JAAOS
Introduction The Journal of the American Academy of Orthopaedic Surgeons (JAAOS) is a high-impact journal that publishes crucial research to inform surgeons’ clinical decision-making. Recent studies examining orthopaedic surgery journals have found a median time to acceptance of 119 days and have found little evidence of nonscientific factors affecting time to publication. The purpose of this study was to determine the median time from submission to acceptance for articles published by the JAAOS and to evaluate factors which may influence time to acceptance.
Methods All studies published in JAAOS from 2020-2022 were obtained. Abstracts were screened for submission and acceptance dates, and time to acceptance was calculated. Studies were excluded if dates were unavailable. Data extracted included article type, main topic, and sex of the first author. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to assess time to acceptance. Simple linear regression, analysis of variance (ANOVA), and independent samples t-test were utilized for univariate analysis. For multivariate analyses, a standard least squares regression was applied.
Results We analyzed 754 articles. Over the past 3 years, time to acceptance has not significantly changed (p = 0.894). Regarding article type, letters had the shortest time to acceptance (median 5 days, IQR 2-10, p<0.0001), followed by guidelines (median 63.5 days, IQR 20.75-178.25). Interventional studies had the longest time to acceptance (median 171.5 days, IQR 106-309.5), followed by review articles (median 147.5 days, IQR 91.25-214) and observational articles (median 127 days, IQR 87.5-191.5). Articles pertaining to COVID-19 (median 62 days, IQR 2-121), diversity (median 90 days, IQR 24-156), and training (median 92 days, IQR 63.5-150) had the shortest times to acceptance. Articles pertaining to radiology (median 189.5 days, IQR 100-309.5), trauma (median 183 days, IQR 126.5-269.5), and sports (median 157.5 days, IQR 100-269.5) had the longest times to acceptance (p<.0008). Time to acceptance was not significantly different between male and female first authors.
Conclusion This study provides a tool for authors to estimate their mean time from submission to acceptance based on the characteristics of their study. With literature submissions constantly increasing each year with unknown times to acceptance, authors may make a more informed decision with journal selection based on the qualities of their study.